Trump Faces Nightmare Midterm Odds for Congress

Picture a bookie on a porch, spitting into a coffee can, telling you the other team's got the game in the bag. That's Kalshi, a prediction market, which the Daily Mail reports puts Democrats at 64 percent for the Senate and 91 percent for the House. Republicans currently hold 53 Senate seats to the Democrats' 47, and Democrats would need 218 House seats for a majority. In Texas, the market has Democrat James Talarico around 66 percent to Ken Paxton's 35. Now, I've watched a lot of folks bet on a lot of things at the county fair, and the pig that's 'sure to win' has taken a nap in the mud plenty of times. A market price is a guess with a login. Voters hold the actual election. That dog won't hunt. That dog won't even get off the porch.