Democrats Edge Toward 10-Point Midterm Lead

Four days from Election Day, the Daily Mail's polling average has Democrats over 51 percent and Republicans at 43, and The Hill says an Emerson College poll out Friday has it 52 to 42. Kalshi, a prediction market, gives Democrats a 92 percent shot at the House and 70 percent at the Senate, about how sure I am that my dog won't eat the saddle blanket. Kansas can't make up its mind either. Emerson has Democrat Adam Hamilton three points up on Senator Roger Marshall, while a Washington Post survey has Hamilton up 10. That isn't a race, it's two neighbors arguing over where the fence goes. Meanwhile Trump is holding rallies in deep-red country, Daytona Beach on Friday included, because a man who knows where his people live doesn't need a poll to tell him to go shake hands.