Key Races to Watch in Tuesday's Midterms

Republicans are defending slim House and Senate majorities, with Texas, Michigan, Iowa, Kansas, Alaska, Maine and Ohio sitting out there as bellwethers. On my ranch a bellwether is the sheep with the bell, and the rest of the flock goes where he goes. Kalshi's prediction markets give Democrats 94 percent for the House and 76 percent for the Senate, which is more confidence than I have in any calf before it's out of the chute. The Texas Senate race between James Talarico and Ken Paxton has $573.2 million in ad spending behind it, per KSAT, which is about as useful as a screen door on a submarine. CBS News says close races may take days or weeks, and delayed counts are normal, not proof of fraud. Somebody will holler fraud before the first precinct reports anyway.